all the attention on Saddam Hussein, when we haven't figured out
what happened with bin Laden, who is listed as a Most Wanted
continued threat to US, notes a 5 August 2005 New York
Times report: Confidential government assessments say that Al Qaeda remains intent on attacking targets in the United States and that suicide bombings are clearly "a preferred method of attack among extremists" in the wake of last month's terror attacks in London.
The July 7 attacks on the London transit system, as well as others overseas, have prompted American
officials to reassess potential threats to targets in the United States. Their conclusions, circulated among law enforcement officials by the Department of Homeland Security and the Federal Bureau of Investigation, differ little from many earlier assessments since the Sept. 11 attacks but make clear that officials see Al Qaeda as a continued threat at home.
("Assessments Find Threat of Suicide Attacks in U.S.")
Qaeda has suffered some setbacks, but attacks in Bali, Saudi
Arabia and elsewhere (see below) indicate the organization still poses a
threat. Those events give operatives operational experience,
which allows Al Qaeda to replace the senior people who have been
captured or killed.
Laden is also the mastermind and a charismatic leader who can
motivate followers. Because we didn't follow through on getting
him, he's rebuilding and plotting against us still - and as the
links to the right indicate, he has an active chemical, biological
and nuclear program.
5 Sept 2003:
"The acquisition, production, or theft of [chemical, biological, radiological or nuclear (CBRN) weapons]
materials and subsequent dissemination is a top al Qaeda objective," the Homeland Security advisory said. "We believe it continues to research more advanced CBRN operations, including production of pathogenic organisms and toxins, as well as high-impact dissemination methods such as contamination of water and food, and aerosolization of an agent in enclosed densely populated space.''
But some of its most pointed warnings focused on commercial airliners. "A growing body of credible intelligence indicates al Qaeda continues to develop plans for multiple attacks against targets in the U.S. involving commercial aircraft," the bulletin said. "Some plans [call] for hijacking airliners transiting near or flying over the continental United States -- but not destined to land at U.S. airports."
(U.S. Officials Warn of New Tactics by Al Qaeda,
Washington Post, P A02)
6 Aug 2003 -
bombing at Marriott in Indonesia tied to the Jemaah Islamiyah (JI), a group that US officials say acts as Al Qaeda's franchise in Southeast Asia. Tuesday's car bomb also follows more than a month of heightened US warnings about the increased risk of Al Qaeda attacks, particularly on so-called "soft targets."
The US State Department had issued specific warnings of possible attacks in Indonesia. US and Indonesian officials say American interests were the likely target.
(Indonesia car bomb echoes Bali
A group linked to Al Qaeda is fingered in a deadly blast Tuesday at a Jakarta
hotel. Christian Science Monitor)
U.S. Expects More Strikes By Al Qaeda
(Washington Post 16 May 2003; Page A01) Intelligence officials and terrorism experts said Monday's strikes in Saudi Arabia, which left 34 people dead, demonstrate al Qaeda's patient adaptability and continued ability to coordinate multiple attacks. Monday's assault was carried out in three locations by numerous armed men who coordinated their tactics to overwhelm and kill guards stationed at the entrances of the protected compounds.
is a timetable from Bush's early statements
wanting bin Laden 'Dead or Alive' to 'we don't where he is' and
'he's not really so important..."
The basic point is
well summarized in a New
Yorker article: "As months went by without a successful
capture Bush rarely mentioned bin Laden’s name in public. The Administration’s attention shifted to building support for the war in Iraq, and Saddam Hussein seemed to replace bin Laden in the role of the world’s most notorious “evildoer.”
In June, a reporter asked where bin Laden might be, and Bush’s response was muted and cautious. “If Osama bin Laden is alive . . . slowly but surely we’re dismantling the networks, and we’ll continue on the hunt,” he said. He added that locating bin Laden “could take years.”
THE PRESIDENT: I want justice. There's an old poster out west, as I recall, that said, "Wanted: Dead or Alive."
Q Are you saying you want him dead or alive, sir? Can I interpret --
THE PRESIDENT: I just remember, all I'm doing is remembering when I was a kid I remember that they used to put out there in the old west, a wanted poster. It said: "Wanted, Dead or Alive." All I want and America wants him brought to justice. That's what we want.
CIA Told to Do 'Whatever Necessary' to Kill Bin Laden:
President Bush last month signed an intelligence order directing the CIA to undertake its most sweeping and lethal covert action since the founding of the agency in 1947, explicitly calling for the destruction of Osama bin Laden and his worldwide al Qaeda network, according to senior government officials. The president also added more than $1 billion to the agency's war on terrorism, most of it for the new covert action.
"The gloves are off," one senior official said. "The president has given the agency the green light to do whatever is necessary.
(Bob Woodward, Washington Post: Oct 20, 2001)
And by the way, the war against terror is bigger than any single individual. Oh, I know there are some always talking about this bin Laden fellow. But, remember, he's the kind of fellow who, he asks youngsters
to go commit suicide and he tries to bury inside a cave. We haven't heard from him in a long time. He's
been kind of quiet for months. I don't know if he's alive, I don't know if he's dead. But I know this, if he is alive there is no cave deep enough for the United States. We're going to find him.
Q: the President said that before September 11th, 9/11 this year, he will bring to justice top al Qaeda leaders including Osama bin Laden. He has any information where he is or how he is going to bring him --
MR. FLEISCHER: Nothing has changed with Osama bin Laden in terms of any information
that we have. We do not know whether he is alive or dead.
Vice President Honors Veterans of Korean War
(29 Aug 2002): In the case of Osama bin Laden -- as President Bush said recently -- "If he's alive, we'll get him. If he's not alive, we already got him."
[Same comment repeated on 2 Oct 2002 - see below)
Press Briefing by Ari Fleischer
(6 Sept 2002,
Whitehouse.gov - notice total non-answer to question about bin
Laden, raised in context of Afghan President Karzai's near
assassination. Notice how now, the problem is one for the rest of
Q There was bloodshed in Afghanistan. That means al Qaeda and Taliban or somebody is directing them, somebody -- some boss is still there. What the President thinks and what is the future of Afghanistan now, because -- and his slogan, "Osama bin Laden wanted dead or alive," still alive or not?
MR. FLEISCHER: Well, I think the world needs to tip its hat to President Karzai for his
strength, for his determination, for his courage. President Karzai is leading Afghanistan to a better future and a peaceful future. And the President was relieved to know that President Karzai was unhurt in yesterday's attack.
This is a reminder to the world about the importance of honoring their obligations and
commitments to Afghanistan. Many nations around the world have made commitments
financially to support the stability of the Afghani government, to provide Afghanistan with the needed funds to provide that stability. And not all the nations in the world have
honored their commitments by following up with delivery of money to Afghanistan. This
is an appropriate time to remind the world that Afghanistan does need the world's help, the mission is not over, and the world needs to do its part.
The Vice President makes remarks at the NRCC Gala Salute to Dick Armey and
J.C. Watts (2 Oct
2002 - whitehouse.gov): In the case of Osama bin Laden, as the President said recently, if he's alive, we'll get him. If he's not alive, we already got him.
Al-Qaeda leader Osama Bin Laden is alive and planning further
high-profile terrorist attacks around the world, the head of Interpol has
said. Mr Noble, who became Interpol's secretary general two years
ago, added: ''Intelligence experts all agree that right now
al-Qaeda is preparing a high-profile terrorist operation, with attacks targeting not just
the US but several countries at the same time.''
The BBC's security correspondent Frank Gardner says this is the strongest yet assessment of the risk of
[Bin Laden is alive - Interpol
tape suggests bin Laden is alive because it mentions recent events
like the bombing in Bali. The voice seems like bin Laden's
although some experts claim phrasing and inflection suggest he is
LONDON, Nov. 14 – In an unbroadcast video tape made last month, Osama bin Laden declares that his al Qaeda network "instigated" the Sept. 11 attacks, the British government said today, and explains that "if avenging the killing of our people is terrorism, let history be a witness that we are terrorists."
"Bush and Blair . . . don't understand any language but the language of force," bin Laden goes on, according to Blair. "Every time they kill us, we will kill them, so the balance of terror can be achieved."
[Blair Reveals Evidence Against Bin Laden]
Bin Laden Recruits With Graphic Video:
The film is a powerful bit of work, tailored for young Arabic men in the manner of a well-done army recruitment tape. The film uses freeze frames of dying Arab children, zoom shots of the USS Cole before and after the
explosion, and grainy footage of Americans lying dead in the wreckage of the U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania. A plaintive voice narrates much of the video, backed by snatches of poetry and ecstatic religious singing.
"This is not a film aimed at the intellectual," Bulliet said. "The target audience is an 18-year-old boy who is not particularly aware of the world but feels the visceral pain of the images." Nor does bin Laden play the lunatic or the fool. To the contrary, he is filmed clad in a white
kaffiyeh, his beard streaked with gray. His voice is soothing, his manner gentle, even as he counsels followers to embrace death's liberation. To die after the horrors shown in the film, he suggests, is an act of altruism.
"Bin Laden's mother, Hamida, was not a Saudi or a Wahhabi, but a stunningly
beautiful, cosmopolitan, educated 22-year-old daughter of a Syrian trader. She shunned the
traditional Saudi veil in favor of Chanel trouser suits and this, coupled with the fact that she was foreign,
diminished her status within the family. She was Mohammed bin Laden's tenth or eleventh spouse, and was
known as the "the slave wife."
bin Laden's time fighting the Russians was critical. It was during this period that he changed from a
contemplative, scholarly young man to a respected, battle-hardened leader of men. And though he had yet
to fully develop his extremist ideas, the war in Afghanistan gave him crucial confidence and status.
"He came to the jihad a well-meaning boy and left a man who knew about violence and its uses and effects,"
said one former associate interviewed by The Observer in Algeria last year.
Journalists in Pakistan at the beginning of the 1980s remember hearing stories about the "Saudi sheikh" who
would visit wounded fighters in the university town's clinics, dispensing cashew nuts and chocolates. The man would note their names and addresses and soon a generous check would arrive
at their family home. Such generosity -- perhaps learned from his father with his wad of notes for the poor -- is something that
almost all who have fought for, or alongside, bin Laden mention.
bin Laden was in for a rude -- and profoundly upsetting -- shock. The last thing the
House of al-Saud wanted was an army of zealous Islamists fighting its war. Bin Laden was received by senior royals, but his
offer was firmly rejected. Worse was to come. Instead of the Islamic army he envisaged protecting the
cradle of Islam, the defense of Saudi Arabia -- and thus of the holy sites of Mecca and Medina -- was entrusted to the Americans. Bin Laden, seething with humiliation and
rage, could do nothing but watch as 300,000 U.S. troops arrived in his country and set about building bases, drinking Coke and alcohol and
sunbathing. Bin Laden saw their presence as an infidel invasion.
In early 1997 the Taliban discovered what they said was a Saudi plot to assassinate bin Laden. The Islamic militia, who by then controlled about two-thirds of Afghanistan, invited bin Laden to move to Kandahar for his own security. Bin Laden
agreed and his relationship with the Taliban's upper command by funding huge military purchases, building mosques and buying cars for the leadership. Bin Laden set up a system to cream off the elite from the existing training camps to
al-Qaida. His aides would pick the most promising
and send them to more specialized camps where, instead of basic infantry techniques, they had
psychological and physical tests, combat trials and finally instruction in the skills of the modern terrorist. Within a year, bin Laden had created the terrorist version of special forces.
Finally, in February 1998, he felt strong enough to issue a fatwa in the name of the "World Front for Jihad against Jews and Crusaders." It was signed by bin Laden,
al-Zawahiri and the heads of major Islamic movements in Pakistan and Bangladesh and endorsed by dozens of other groups throughout the region. It
was, according to one Western scholar of Islam, "a magnificent piece of eloquent, even poetic, Arabic prose."
There was nothing poetic about its message. The fatwa said that killing Americans and their allies, even civilians, was a Muslim duty. Shortly afterwards bin Laden told an interviewer that there would be "radical action" soon.
At about 11 a.m. on August, 7 1998,
a blast had demolished the U.S. embassy, an office block and a
secretarial college, killing 213 people and wounding 4,600. Almost simultaneously a second bomb, at the
U.S. embassy in Tanzania, exploded, killing 11.
Thirteen days after the bombings in Africa, 75 American cruise missiles slammed into six training camps in the eastern Afghan hills. Other missiles demolished a
medical factory in Sudan. The Muslim world exploded in anger and outrage. Bin Laden was launched onto the global stage.
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